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Demographics

The population structure of a country has strong implications for its economic future. As an example let us use my home country Germany (Table 1). Germany is an aging society. In the next 10 years the bulk of the boomer generation with 13 Mio people, who are between 56 and 65 years old today, will retire, while only 8 Mio young people will enter their working age years. That is, assuming no major change in migration and retirement age, the working age population will shrink by 5 Mio ≈ 10 % in the next 10 years.  

Table 1: Age Structure of the German Population in 2025 (Source: destatis.de)
Age groupSizeSub-group
Elderly:  > 65 years18 Mio 

Working Age:

21 ... 65 years

 

49 Mio(56 ... 65 years: 13 Mio)
 
 
Youth: < 21 years16 Mio(11 ... 20 years: 8 Mio)
 

Total: 83 Mio

(49% male, 51% female)

German citizens: 71 Mio

Foreign citizens: 12 Mio

Let us further analyze the structure of the country's workforce (Table 2).

Table 2: Structure of the German Labor Force in 2025 (Source: Federal Employment Agency)
Type Sizeincluded Foreigners
Self-employed 3.7 Mio 

Employees (subject to social security contributions)

Full time

24.1 Mio

 5.7 Mio

Part time

10.8 Mio

Marginal jobs (< 600 € per month) 4.2 Mio 
Registered unemployed 2.9 Mio (6.3%) 1.1 Mio
Total 45.7 Mio 

Manufacturing industry 6.6 Mio, Construction industry ???

--- to be continued ---